Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →40.7%
Brentford
26.8%
Draw
32.6%
Newcastle
Expected Goals (xG)
1.64
Brentford
vs
1.45
Newcastle
Markets
BTTS63.2%
Over 0.593.9%
Over 1.582.9%
Over 2.559.7%
Over 3.537.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.3%
2-1
8.9%
1-2
7.9%
2-2
6.4%
2-0
6.1%
0-0
6.1%
1-0
6.0%
0-1
5.1%
3-1
4.8%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3.8%
3-2
3.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).