Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →53.2%
Gateshead
23.7%
Draw
23.1%
Maidstone
Expected Goals (xG)
1.94
Gateshead
vs
1.23
Maidstone
Markets
BTTS61.4%
Over 0.595.0%
Over 1.583.3%
Over 2.561.4%
Over 3.539.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.9%
2-1
9.7%
2-0
7.9%
1-0
7.3%
3-1
6.3%
1-2
6.1%
2-2
6.0%
3-0
5.1%
0-0
5.0%
0-1
4.3%
3-2
3.9%
0-2
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).