Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →47.5%
Alessandria
30.5%
Draw
22.0%
Cittadella
Expected Goals (xG)
1.35
Alessandria
vs
0.84
Cittadella
Markets
BTTS43.4%
Over 0.587.6%
Over 1.565.6%
Over 2.537.5%
Over 3.517.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.9%
1-0
13.8%
0-0
12.4%
2-0
10.2%
2-1
8.6%
0-1
8.1%
1-2
5.3%
3-0
4.6%
0-2
3.9%
3-1
3.9%
2-2
3.6%
3-2
1.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).