Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →49.9%
Ath Bilbao
29.9%
Draw
20.2%
Alaves
Expected Goals (xG)
1.29
Ath Bilbao
vs
0.71
Alaves
Markets
BTTS37.4%
Over 0.586.1%
Over 1.559.9%
Over 2.532.4%
Over 3.514.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
17.0%
0-0
13.9%
1-1
12.8%
2-0
11.2%
0-1
9.2%
2-1
8.0%
3-0
4.8%
1-2
4.4%
3-1
3.4%
0-2
3.4%
2-2
2.9%
4-0
1.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).