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17 Aug 2024 · 14:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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24.0%
Garforth Town
36.7%
Draw
39.3%
Heaton Stannington

Expected Goals (xG)

0.58

Garforth Town

vs
0.84

Heaton Stannington

Markets

BTTS24.7%
Over 0.576.2%
Over 1.541.2%
Over 2.517.2%
Over 3.55.6%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-0
23.8%
0-1
20.6%
1-0
14.4%
1-1
11.4%
0-2
8.5%
1-2
5.0%
2-0
4.1%
2-1
3.4%
0-3
2.4%
2-2
1.4%
1-3
1.4%
3-0
0.8%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).