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04 Nov 2025 · 19:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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38.4%
Charlton
33.7%
Draw
27.9%
West Brom

Expected Goals (xG)

1.06

Charlton

vs
0.86

West Brom

Markets

BTTS38.7%
Over 0.584.1%
Over 1.558.1%
Over 2.530.0%
Over 3.512.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-0
15.9%
1-1
14.5%
1-0
14.5%
0-1
11.5%
2-0
8.2%
2-1
7.1%
1-2
5.7%
0-2
5.4%
2-2
3.0%
3-0
2.9%
3-1
2.5%
1-3
1.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).