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20 Aug 2024 · 18:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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52.0%
Bishop Auckland
21.3%
Draw
26.7%
Ashington AFC

Expected Goals (xG)

1.96

Bishop Auckland

vs
1.35

Ashington AFC

Markets

BTTS63.5%
Over 0.596.7%
Over 1.584.0%
Over 2.564.4%
Over 3.542.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-1
9.5%
1-1
9.3%
1-0
7.4%
2-0
7.0%
1-2
6.5%
2-2
6.4%
3-1
6.2%
0-1
5.2%
3-0
4.6%
3-2
4.2%
0-0
3.3%
0-2
3.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).