Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →47.6%
Spal
27.4%
Draw
25.1%
Empoli
Expected Goals (xG)
1.59
Spal
vs
1.09
Empoli
Markets
BTTS54.0%
Over 0.592.0%
Over 1.575.9%
Over 2.550.1%
Over 3.528.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.1%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.4%
2-0
8.6%
0-0
8.0%
1-2
6.5%
0-1
6.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-1
5.0%
3-0
4.6%
0-2
4.1%
3-2
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).