Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →46.9%
Ulm
25.6%
Draw
27.5%
Greuther Furth
Expected Goals (xG)
1.75
Ulm
vs
1.30
Greuther Furth
Markets
BTTS61.1%
Over 0.594.2%
Over 1.581.8%
Over 2.558.7%
Over 3.536.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.8%
2-1
9.4%
1-0
7.3%
2-0
7.3%
1-2
7.0%
2-2
6.1%
0-0
5.8%
3-1
5.5%
0-1
5.1%
3-0
4.2%
0-2
4.0%
3-2
3.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).