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AHT: 01CSV

23 Feb 2025 · 19:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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17.1%
Cagliari
20.6%
Draw
62.3%
Juventus

Expected Goals (xG)

0.94

Cagliari

vs
2.01

Juventus

Markets

BTTS52.5%
Over 0.594.9%
Over 1.579.1%
Over 2.556.4%
Over 3.534.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
10.7%
0-2
10.6%
1-2
9.9%
1-1
9.7%
0-3
7.1%
1-3
6.6%
1-0
5.1%
0-0
5.1%
2-2
4.7%
2-1
4.7%
0-4
3.5%
1-4
3.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).