Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →56.2%
Pau FC
20.1%
Draw
23.7%
Caen
Expected Goals (xG)
1.99
Pau FC
vs
1.21
Caen
Markets
BTTS59.8%
Over 0.596.7%
Over 1.582.1%
Over 2.562.0%
Over 3.539.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
9.8%
1-1
9.0%
1-0
8.9%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
6.5%
1-2
5.9%
2-2
5.9%
0-1
5.7%
3-0
5.3%
3-2
3.9%
0-0
3.3%
4-1
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).