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AHT: 11CSV

20 Mar 2022 · 12:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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62.5%
QPR
21.6%
Draw
15.9%
Peterboro

Expected Goals (xG)

2.12

QPR

vs
0.99

Peterboro

Markets

BTTS56.0%
Over 0.594.7%
Over 1.582.4%
Over 2.560.1%
Over 3.537.7%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
10.1%
2-0
10.0%
2-1
9.9%
1-0
8.7%
3-0
7.1%
3-1
7.0%
0-0
5.3%
2-2
4.9%
1-2
4.6%
4-0
3.8%
4-1
3.7%
0-1
3.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).