Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →76.1%
Boreham Wood
14.2%
Draw
9.7%
Gateshead
Expected Goals (xG)
3.03
Boreham Wood
vs
1.07
Gateshead
Markets
BTTS63.0%
Over 0.597.9%
Over 1.592.0%
Over 2.577.6%
Over 3.558.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-1
8.2%
2-1
8.1%
3-0
7.7%
2-0
7.6%
4-1
6.2%
1-1
5.8%
4-0
5.8%
1-0
4.6%
3-2
4.4%
2-2
4.4%
5-1
3.8%
5-0
3.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).