Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →41.4%
QPR
27.7%
Draw
31.0%
Bristol City
Expected Goals (xG)
1.46
QPR
vs
1.24
Bristol City
Markets
BTTS55.6%
Over 0.592.3%
Over 1.576.2%
Over 2.550.7%
Over 3.528.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.2%
2-1
8.9%
1-0
8.8%
0-0
7.7%
1-2
7.5%
0-1
7.3%
2-0
7.2%
2-2
5.5%
0-2
5.1%
3-1
4.3%
3-0
3.5%
1-3
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).