Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →64.0%
Maidenhead
21.7%
Draw
14.3%
Maidstone
Expected Goals (xG)
2.08
Maidenhead
vs
0.89
Maidstone
Markets
BTTS52.3%
Over 0.594.0%
Over 1.580.4%
Over 2.556.9%
Over 3.534.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
11.1%
1-1
10.3%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-0
7.7%
3-1
6.8%
0-0
6.0%
2-2
4.4%
1-2
4.2%
4-0
4.0%
0-1
3.8%
4-1
3.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).