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21 Dec 2024 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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32.0%
Wealdstone
28.3%
Draw
39.7%
Dag and Red

Expected Goals (xG)

1.23

Wealdstone

vs
1.39

Dag and Red

Markets

BTTS54.1%
Over 0.591.7%
Over 1.574.6%
Over 2.548.6%
Over 3.526.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.5%
0-1
9.1%
1-2
8.7%
0-0
8.3%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
7.6%
0-2
7.1%
2-0
5.5%
2-2
5.3%
1-3
4.0%
0-3
3.3%
3-1
3.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).