Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →78.4%
FC Koln
12.5%
Draw
9.1%
Wolfsburg
Expected Goals (xG)
3.38
FC Koln
vs
1.19
Wolfsburg
Markets
BTTS67.6%
Over 0.598.6%
Over 1.594.5%
Over 2.583.4%
Over 3.566.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-1
7.9%
2-1
7.1%
4-1
6.7%
3-0
6.7%
2-0
5.9%
4-0
5.6%
3-2
4.7%
5-1
4.5%
1-1
4.5%
2-2
4.2%
4-2
4.0%
5-0
3.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).