Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →65.3%
St Pauli
18.6%
Draw
16.1%
Barking
Expected Goals (xG)
2.22
St Pauli
vs
1.00
Barking
Markets
BTTS56.0%
Over 0.596.3%
Over 1.582.8%
Over 2.562.4%
Over 3.540.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
9.9%
2-1
9.8%
1-0
9.2%
1-1
8.6%
3-0
7.3%
3-1
7.3%
2-2
4.9%
1-2
4.4%
0-1
4.3%
4-0
4.0%
4-1
4.0%
0-0
3.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).