Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →50.1%
Le Havre
25.4%
Draw
24.5%
Metz
Expected Goals (xG)
1.44
Le Havre
vs
0.91
Metz
Markets
BTTS44.7%
Over 0.591.1%
Over 1.567.1%
Over 2.541.5%
Over 3.520.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.5%
1-1
11.8%
2-0
9.9%
0-1
9.4%
2-1
9.0%
0-0
8.9%
1-2
5.7%
3-0
4.7%
3-1
4.3%
2-2
4.1%
0-2
3.9%
3-2
1.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).