Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →14.4%
Sheffield Weds
17.0%
Draw
68.6%
Pontefract Collieries
Expected Goals (xG)
1.02
Sheffield Weds
vs
2.43
Pontefract Collieries
Markets
BTTS58.0%
Over 0.597.1%
Over 1.585.6%
Over 2.567.0%
Over 3.545.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-2
9.6%
0-2
9.4%
0-1
8.0%
1-3
7.7%
1-1
7.6%
0-3
7.6%
2-2
4.9%
1-4
4.7%
0-4
4.6%
2-1
4.0%
2-3
3.9%
1-0
3.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).