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DHT: 10CSV

01 Apr 2023 · 15:00

Wolves

Away

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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49.3%
Nott'm Forest
30.7%
Draw
20.0%
Wolves

Expected Goals (xG)

1.41

Nott'm Forest

vs
0.82

Wolves

Markets

BTTS43.9%
Over 0.587.5%
Over 1.566.9%
Over 2.538.5%
Over 3.518.6%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
14.1%
1-0
13.5%
0-0
12.5%
2-0
10.7%
2-1
8.8%
0-1
7.1%
1-2
5.1%
3-0
5.0%
3-1
4.1%
0-2
3.6%
2-2
3.6%
4-0
1.8%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).