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26 Dec 2025 · 19:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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47.3%
Anderlecht
24.7%
Draw
27.9%
Charleroi

Expected Goals (xG)

1.69

Anderlecht

vs
1.25

Charleroi

Markets

BTTS58.7%
Over 0.594.3%
Over 1.579.7%
Over 2.556.5%
Over 3.534.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
11.6%
2-1
9.4%
1-0
8.5%
2-0
7.5%
1-2
7.0%
0-1
6.2%
2-2
5.9%
0-0
5.7%
3-1
5.3%
3-0
4.3%
0-2
4.1%
3-2
3.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).