Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →9.2%
Samsunspor
23.9%
Draw
66.8%
Galatasaray
Expected Goals (xG)
0.70
Samsunspor
vs
2.06
Galatasaray
Markets
BTTS46.2%
Over 0.591.4%
Over 1.578.5%
Over 2.552.1%
Over 3.529.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2
13.4%
1-1
11.4%
0-1
10.7%
1-2
9.4%
0-3
9.2%
0-0
8.6%
1-3
6.5%
0-4
4.8%
1-4
3.3%
2-2
3.3%
2-1
3.2%
2-3
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).