Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →28.9%
Tenerife
35.5%
Draw
35.6%
Burgos
Expected Goals (xG)
0.72
Tenerife
vs
0.84
Burgos
Markets
BTTS29.1%
Over 0.579.2%
Over 1.546.2%
Over 2.520.7%
Over 3.57.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0
20.8%
0-1
17.7%
1-0
15.3%
1-1
12.6%
0-2
7.4%
2-0
5.5%
1-2
5.3%
2-1
4.6%
0-3
2.1%
2-2
1.9%
1-3
1.5%
3-0
1.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).