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HHT: 10CSV

14 Oct 2023 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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56.4%
Crewe
21.7%
Draw
22.0%
Tranmere

Expected Goals (xG)

1.86

Crewe

vs
1.07

Tranmere

Markets

BTTS54.9%
Over 0.595.1%
Over 1.578.5%
Over 2.556.0%
Over 3.533.6%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
10.4%
1-1
10.2%
2-1
9.9%
2-0
9.3%
0-1
6.2%
3-1
6.1%
3-0
5.7%
1-2
5.7%
2-2
5.3%
0-0
4.9%
3-2
3.3%
0-2
3.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).