Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →25.2%
Cremonese
28.2%
Draw
46.5%
Fiorentina
Expected Goals (xG)
0.86
Cremonese
vs
1.29
Fiorentina
Markets
BTTS41.6%
Over 0.588.5%
Over 1.563.0%
Over 2.536.3%
Over 3.517.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
15.2%
1-1
12.7%
0-0
11.5%
1-0
10.3%
0-2
9.6%
1-2
8.3%
2-1
5.6%
2-0
4.3%
0-3
4.1%
2-2
3.6%
1-3
3.6%
3-1
1.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).