Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →66.7%
Chelsea
20.3%
Draw
13.0%
Tottenham
Expected Goals (xG)
2.35
Chelsea
vs
0.98
Tottenham
Markets
BTTS57.7%
Over 0.595.3%
Over 1.585.6%
Over 2.564.6%
Over 3.542.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
9.9%
2-1
9.7%
1-1
9.4%
3-0
7.7%
3-1
7.6%
1-0
7.3%
2-2
4.8%
0-0
4.7%
4-0
4.5%
4-1
4.4%
1-2
4.1%
3-2
3.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).