Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →80.8%
Rochdale
13.7%
Draw
5.5%
Gateshead
Expected Goals (xG)
2.70
Rochdale
vs
0.61
Gateshead
Markets
BTTS43.1%
Over 0.595.8%
Over 1.584.7%
Over 2.564.2%
Over 3.542.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
13.3%
3-0
12.0%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8.1%
4-0
8.1%
3-1
7.3%
1-1
6.5%
4-1
4.9%
5-0
4.4%
0-0
4.2%
5-1
2.7%
2-2
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).