Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →75.9%
Chesterfield
14.9%
Draw
9.2%
Dover Athletic
Expected Goals (xG)
2.84
Chesterfield
vs
0.95
Dover Athletic
Markets
BTTS58.3%
Over 0.597.2%
Over 1.589.7%
Over 2.573.0%
Over 3.552.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
9.1%
2-1
8.6%
3-0
8.6%
3-1
8.2%
1-1
6.6%
4-0
6.1%
1-0
5.9%
4-1
5.8%
2-2
4.1%
3-2
3.9%
5-0
3.5%
5-1
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).