Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →47.3%
Coventry
26.1%
Draw
26.7%
Middlesbrough
Expected Goals (xG)
1.67
Coventry
vs
1.21
Middlesbrough
Markets
BTTS57.8%
Over 0.593.4%
Over 1.579.1%
Over 2.554.8%
Over 3.532.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.3%
2-1
9.5%
1-0
8.5%
2-0
7.9%
1-2
6.8%
0-0
6.6%
0-1
5.8%
2-2
5.7%
3-1
5.3%
3-0
4.4%
0-2
4.1%
3-2
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).