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DHT: 21CSV

21 Apr 2019

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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56.2%
Oviedo
23.6%
Draw
20.2%
Cordoba

Expected Goals (xG)

1.71

Oviedo

vs
0.92

Cordoba

Markets

BTTS49.3%
Over 0.592.9%
Over 1.573.8%
Over 2.549.1%
Over 3.527.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
12.4%
1-1
11.2%
2-0
10.5%
2-1
9.7%
0-0
7.1%
0-1
6.7%
3-0
6.0%
3-1
5.5%
1-2
5.2%
2-2
4.5%
0-2
3.0%
4-0
2.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).