Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →68.4%
Atalanta
20.5%
Draw
11.1%
Venezia
Expected Goals (xG)
1.88
Atalanta
vs
0.60
Venezia
Markets
BTTS37.9%
Over 0.591.7%
Over 1.570.6%
Over 2.545.0%
Over 3.523.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
16.0%
2-0
14.9%
3-0
9.3%
1-1
9.3%
2-1
8.9%
0-0
8.3%
3-1
5.5%
0-1
5.2%
4-0
4.4%
1-2
2.8%
2-2
2.6%
4-1
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).