Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →60.4%
Espanol
22.6%
Draw
16.9%
Valladolid
Expected Goals (xG)
1.79
Espanol
vs
0.82
Valladolid
Markets
BTTS46.4%
Over 0.592.7%
Over 1.573.2%
Over 2.548.3%
Over 3.526.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
13.3%
2-0
11.8%
1-1
10.7%
2-1
9.7%
0-0
7.3%
3-0
7.0%
0-1
6.2%
3-1
5.7%
1-2
4.4%
2-2
4.0%
4-0
3.1%
4-1
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).