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AHT: 20CSV

30 Mar 2024 · 18:00

Angers

Away

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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24.8%
Concarneau
22.8%
Draw
52.3%
Angers

Expected Goals (xG)

1.02

Concarneau

vs
1.62

Angers

Markets

BTTS50.5%
Over 0.593.9%
Over 1.573.2%
Over 2.549.3%
Over 3.527.4%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
12.5%
1-1
10.8%
1-2
9.6%
0-2
9.3%
1-0
8.2%
0-0
6.1%
2-1
6.0%
1-3
5.2%
0-3
5.1%
2-2
4.9%
2-0
3.7%
2-3
2.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).