Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →23.0%
Obolon'
30.0%
Draw
47.0%
Karpaty
Expected Goals (xG)
0.79
Obolon'
vs
1.26
Karpaty
Markets
BTTS39.6%
Over 0.586.8%
Over 1.561.2%
Over 2.533.7%
Over 3.515.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
15.8%
0-0
13.2%
1-1
13.2%
0-2
10.2%
1-0
9.8%
1-2
8.1%
2-1
5.1%
0-3
4.3%
2-0
4.0%
1-3
3.4%
2-2
3.2%
0-4
1.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).