Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →51.0%
Port Vale
26.6%
Draw
22.4%
Macclesfield
Expected Goals (xG)
1.38
Port Vale
vs
0.80
Macclesfield
Markets
BTTS40.7%
Over 0.589.2%
Over 1.563.5%
Over 2.537.2%
Over 3.517.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
16.1%
1-1
11.9%
0-0
10.8%
2-0
10.7%
0-1
9.6%
2-1
8.6%
1-2
5.0%
3-0
4.9%
3-1
4.0%
0-2
3.6%
2-2
3.5%
4-0
1.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).