Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →40.2%
Kilmarnock
26.3%
Draw
33.5%
Aberdeen
Expected Goals (xG)
1.48
Kilmarnock
vs
1.33
Aberdeen
Markets
BTTS57.6%
Over 0.593.4%
Over 1.577.8%
Over 2.553.5%
Over 3.531.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.4%
2-1
8.8%
1-0
8.3%
1-2
7.9%
0-1
7.4%
0-0
6.6%
2-0
6.6%
2-2
5.9%
0-2
5.3%
3-1
4.3%
1-3
3.5%
3-0
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).