Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →49.2%
Morton
29.5%
Draw
21.3%
Hamilton
Expected Goals (xG)
1.54
Morton
vs
0.95
Hamilton
Markets
BTTS50.1%
Over 0.589.8%
Over 1.573.0%
Over 2.545.4%
Over 3.524.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.0%
1-0
10.8%
0-0
10.2%
2-0
9.8%
2-1
9.3%
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.8%
3-0
5.1%
3-1
4.8%
2-2
4.4%
0-2
3.7%
3-2
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).