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AHT: 00CSV

10 Mar 2020 · 19:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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11.4%
Stranraer
35.2%
Draw
53.5%
Montrose

Expected Goals (xG)

0.35

Stranraer

vs
1.08

Montrose

Markets

BTTS20.0%
Over 0.575.4%
Over 1.542.3%
Over 2.517.3%
Over 3.55.7%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
25.3%
0-0
24.6%
0-2
13.9%
1-1
9.6%
1-0
7.8%
0-3
5.0%
1-2
4.9%
1-3
1.7%
2-1
1.6%
2-0
1.5%
0-4
1.3%
2-2
0.9%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).