Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →47.9%
Sochaux
27.0%
Draw
25.1%
Ajaccio
Expected Goals (xG)
1.27
Sochaux
vs
0.82
Ajaccio
Markets
BTTS39.1%
Over 0.588.6%
Over 1.560.6%
Over 2.534.6%
Over 3.515.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
16.8%
1-1
11.8%
0-0
11.4%
0-1
11.2%
2-0
10.0%
2-1
8.2%
1-2
5.3%
3-0
4.2%
0-2
4.2%
3-1
3.4%
2-2
3.3%
1-3
1.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).