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30 Nov 2024 · 19:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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58.3%
Darmstadt
24.7%
Draw
16.9%
Preußen Münster

Expected Goals (xG)

1.82

Darmstadt

vs
0.89

Preußen Münster

Markets

BTTS50.5%
Over 0.592.3%
Over 1.576.4%
Over 2.551.0%
Over 3.528.9%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
11.8%
1-0
11.0%
2-0
11.0%
2-1
9.8%
0-0
7.7%
3-0
6.7%
3-1
6.0%
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.8%
2-2
4.4%
4-0
3.1%
4-1
2.7%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).