Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →20.9%
Montpellier
31.0%
Draw
48.1%
Auxerre
Expected Goals (xG)
0.64
Montpellier
vs
1.14
Auxerre
Markets
BTTS31.6%
Over 0.583.3%
Over 1.552.5%
Over 2.526.2%
Over 3.510.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
19.7%
0-0
16.7%
1-1
11.9%
1-0
11.1%
0-2
11.0%
1-2
7.0%
0-3
4.2%
2-1
3.9%
2-0
3.4%
1-3
2.6%
2-2
2.2%
0-4
1.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).