Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →42.2%
Brescia
31.3%
Draw
26.5%
Benevento
Expected Goals (xG)
1.26
Brescia
vs
0.94
Benevento
Markets
BTTS44.9%
Over 0.587.6%
Over 1.565.8%
Over 2.537.6%
Over 3.518.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.4%
1-0
12.7%
0-0
12.4%
0-1
9.2%
2-0
8.8%
2-1
8.2%
1-2
6.2%
0-2
4.9%
2-2
3.9%
3-0
3.7%
3-1
3.5%
1-3
1.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).