Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →29.7%
Vizela
24.8%
Draw
45.5%
Guimaraes
Expected Goals (xG)
1.13
Vizela
vs
1.48
Guimaraes
Markets
BTTS51.8%
Over 0.593.2%
Over 1.572.9%
Over 2.548.4%
Over 3.526.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.8%
0-1
11.4%
1-2
9.1%
1-0
8.9%
0-2
8.0%
2-1
7.0%
0-0
6.8%
2-2
5.1%
2-0
4.7%
1-3
4.5%
0-3
3.9%
3-1
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).