Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →30.4%
Ajaccio
30.1%
Draw
39.4%
Lens
Expected Goals (xG)
0.84
Ajaccio
vs
1.00
Lens
Markets
BTTS34.9%
Over 0.585.2%
Over 1.553.9%
Over 2.528.1%
Over 3.511.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
17.0%
0-0
14.8%
1-0
14.4%
1-1
12.3%
0-2
8.0%
1-2
6.7%
2-1
5.6%
2-0
5.6%
2-2
2.8%
0-3
2.7%
1-3
2.2%
3-1
1.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).