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09 Feb 2025 · 16:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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94.9%
Galatasaray
4.2%
Draw
0.9%
Ad. Demirspor

Expected Goals (xG)

4.62

Galatasaray

vs
0.59

Ad. Demirspor

Markets

BTTS44.3%
Over 0.599.1%
Over 1.596.9%
Over 2.589.1%
Over 3.576.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

4-0
10.5%
5-0
9.7%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
6.1%
2-0
5.9%
5-1
5.7%
3-1
5.3%
2-1
3.5%
1-0
2.2%
1-1
1.9%
4-2
1.8%
5-2
1.7%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).