Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →32.3%
West Brom
32.2%
Draw
35.5%
Stoke
Expected Goals (xG)
1.02
West Brom
vs
1.08
Stoke
Markets
BTTS43.4%
Over 0.586.7%
Over 1.563.2%
Over 2.535.1%
Over 3.516.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.6%
0-0
13.3%
0-1
12.1%
1-0
11.3%
1-2
7.3%
0-2
7.2%
2-1
6.9%
2-0
6.4%
2-2
3.7%
1-3
2.6%
0-3
2.6%
3-1
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).