Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →65.9%
Villarreal
19.7%
Draw
14.5%
Girona
Expected Goals (xG)
2.21
Villarreal
vs
0.94
Girona
Markets
BTTS54.5%
Over 0.595.4%
Over 1.582.5%
Over 2.560.9%
Over 3.538.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
10.5%
2-1
9.8%
1-1
9.2%
1-0
9.2%
3-0
7.7%
3-1
7.2%
2-2
4.6%
0-0
4.6%
4-0
4.3%
1-2
4.2%
4-1
4.0%
0-1
3.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).