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HHT: 10CSV

18 Mar 2017

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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64.8%
Frosinone
22.0%
Draw
13.2%
Vicenza

Expected Goals (xG)

2.04

Frosinone

vs
0.82

Vicenza

Markets

BTTS49.8%
Over 0.593.4%
Over 1.578.9%
Over 2.554.6%
Over 3.532.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-0
11.9%
1-0
10.7%
1-1
10.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-0
8.1%
3-1
6.7%
0-0
6.6%
4-0
4.1%
2-2
4.0%
1-2
3.9%
0-1
3.7%
4-1
3.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).