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19 Mar 2021 · 18:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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38.3%
Chambly
26.8%
Draw
34.9%
Ajaccio

Expected Goals (xG)

1.14

Chambly

vs
1.07

Ajaccio

Markets

BTTS43.8%
Over 0.590.2%
Over 1.563.9%
Over 2.538.2%
Over 3.518.4%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
13.5%
0-1
12.8%
1-1
12.3%
0-0
9.8%
2-1
7.6%
1-2
7.2%
2-0
7.1%
0-2
6.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-1
2.9%
3-0
2.7%
1-3
2.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).